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The Ukrainian Black Hole Gathers the Storm of World War III
In Zbigniew Brzezinski’s The Grand Chessboard, published in 1997, the year NATO expansion began, the Polish-American sovietologist described post-Soviet Russia as a „black hole.“ As we all know, a black hole draws any and all objects into it once they enter their field of gravity. It turns out that Ukraine has beome the world’s black hole, with Russia and all the world affected by the conflict. Effects include but are not limited to a restructuring of the international system and a split oft he world into two camps, a weakening and redirection of trade relations, a brerakdown in consideration of international law, and growing authoritarianism worldwide. In brief, the NATO-Russia Ukrainian War is dragging much of the world into the conflict directly or indirectly. In some cases, participation — however attenuated or indirect – is already leading to deepening involvement. In the event the war continues, many countries will be dragged inexorably beyond indirect action (military and other forms of assistance) and then direct action (military participation), including perhaps open combatant status. It is how these latter two aspects related to military-related support of and direct military participation in the conflict are overlapping with or helping to revive other conflicts that I attempt to address below.